Predicting the Pros
Predictions/LaVon Brazill
LaVon Brazill

Player breakdown

LaVon Brazill

Ohio · 2012 Draft Class

5-11192 lbs6th round, 206th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012IND150241118616.9112.4
2013IND100271216113.4216.1
Career250512334715.1313.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

3%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.498
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (192 lbs)+0.175
54.8 conference-adjusted ypg — SEC/Big Ten players penalized less than spread teams+0.150

Top Negative Factors

-3.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.744
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.648
Physical production synergy-0.461

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)