Player breakdown
Leland Smith
San Jose State · 2026 Draft Class
6-4215 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Purdue | Big Ten | 12 | 6 | 72 | 2 | 12 | 6 |
| 2025 | San Jose State | MWC | 12 | 43 | 688 | 3 | 16 | 57.3 |
| Career | 24 | 49 | 760 | 5 | 15.5 | 31.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.395
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.256
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.255
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.718
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.707
Improvement accelerating (+8.6) — getting better faster each year-0.622