Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Leonard Hankerson
Leonard Hankerson

Player breakdown

Leonard Hankerson

Miami (FL) · 2011 Draft Class

6-1209 lbs3rd round, 79th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

64%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2011WAS42201316312.5040.8
2012WAS165573854314.3333.9
2013WAS107503037512.5337.5
2014WAS10100000
2015ATL80462632712.6340.9
Career39141741071,40813.2936.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007Miami (FL)ACC8663110.57.9
2008Miami (FL)ACC811140212.717.5
2009Miami (FL)ACC1345801617.861.6
2010Miami (FL)ACC13721,1561316.188.9
Career421342,1602216.151.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

63%

ML model output

Context Prob

65%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.245
Physical production synergy+0.286
7.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.259

Top Negative Factors

-4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.720
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.441
Improvement accelerating (+17.4) — getting better faster each year-0.365

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)