Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Lewis Bond
Lewis Bond

Player breakdown

Lewis Bond

Boston College · 2026 Draft Class

5-11190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

22%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021Boston CollegeACC216063
2022Boston CollegeACC6551010.28.5
2023Boston CollegeACC1352646712.449.7
2024Boston CollegeACC1367689310.353
2025Boston CollegeACC1288993111.382.8
Career462132,3851111.251.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

3%

ML model output

Context Prob

58%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

3.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.274
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.82x — route-running independent of system+0.165
BMI 26.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.163

Top Negative Factors

-2.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.612
Physical production synergy-0.556

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)