Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Limas Sweed
Limas Sweed

Player breakdown

Limas Sweed

Texas · 2008 Draft Class

6-4215 lbs2nd round, 53rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

40%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008PIT1101066410.705.8
2009PIT90515500.6
Career200157699.903.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004TexasBig 121123263011.423.9
2005TexasBig 121336545515.141.9
2006TexasBig 1213468011217.461.6
2007TexasBig 12719306316.143.7
Career441241,9152015.443.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

3%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

7

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.320
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.226
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (215 lbs)+0.207

Top Negative Factors

-12.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.777
Physical production synergy-0.558
Improvement accelerating (+2.0) — getting better faster each year-0.304

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)