
Player breakdown
Makai Lemon
USC · 2026 Draft Class
5-11192 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x1
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | USC | Pac-12 | 9 | 6 | 88 | 0 | 14.7 | 9.8 |
| 2024 | USC | Big Ten | 12 | 52 | 764 | 3 | 14.7 | 63.7 |
| 2025 | USC | Big Ten | 12 | 79 | 1,156 | 11 | 14.6 | 96.3 |
| Career | 33 | 137 | 2,008 | 14 | 14.7 | 60.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
70%
ML model output
Context Prob
84%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.088
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.222
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (192 lbs)+0.213
Top Negative Factors
+6.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.678
Physical production synergy-0.580
Improvement accelerating (+12.1) — getting better faster each year-0.561