Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Malik McClain
Malik McClain

Player breakdown

Malik McClain

Arizona State · 2026 Draft Class

6-5205 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021Florida StateACC1216190211.915.8
2022Florida StateACC1317206312.115.8
2023Penn StateBig Ten13671111.85.5
2024Arizona StateBig 126285142.514.2
2025Arizona StateBig 121331441114.233.9
Career5772993813.817.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

14%

ML model output

Context Prob

53%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.924
Recruit dominator synergy+0.480
Class YPR rank: top 20% — elite per-target efficiency+0.247

Top Negative Factors

-28.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.750
0.11 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.469
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.373

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)