Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Marcel Williams
Marcel Williams

Player breakdown

Marcel Williams

Akron · 2026 Draft Class

5-11183 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~27
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017MarshallCUSA1241512212.542.7
2018MarshallCUSA132438311629.5
2025AkronMAC1245641214.253.4
Career371101,536514.041.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.858
Recruit dominator synergy+0.453
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.272

Top Negative Factors

+1.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.734
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.721
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.401

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)