Player breakdown
Marcel Williams
Akron · 2028 Draft Class
5-11183 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~27
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Marshall | CUSA | 12 | 41 | 512 | 2 | 12.5 | 42.7 |
| 2018 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | 24 | 383 | 1 | 16 | 29.5 |
| 2025 | Akron | MAC | 12 | 45 | 641 | 2 | 14.2 | 53.4 |
| Career | 37 | 110 | 1,536 | 5 | 14.0 | 41.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.858
Recruit dominator synergy+0.453
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.272
Top Negative Factors
+1.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.734
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.721
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.401