Player breakdown
Marcell Ateman
Oklahoma St. · 2018 Draft Class
6-4216 lbs7th round, 228th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
48%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | OAK | 7 | 6 | 31 | 15 | 154 | 10.3 | 1 | 22 |
| 2019 | OAK | 11 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 116 | 23.2 | 0 | 10.5 |
| Career | 18 | 6 | 41 | 20 | 270 | 13.5 | 1 | 15.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10 | 22 | 276 | 0 | 12.5 | 27.6 |
| 2014 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 12 | 20 | 268 | 0 | 13.4 | 22.3 |
| 2015 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 13 | 45 | 766 | 5 | 17 | 58.9 |
| 2017 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 13 | 59 | 1,156 | 8 | 19.6 | 88.9 |
| Career | 48 | 146 | 2,466 | 13 | 16.9 | 51.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
27%
ML model output
Context Prob
75%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.261
Recruit dominator synergy+0.264
Class YPR rank: top 16% — elite per-target efficiency+0.231
Top Negative Factors
-5.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.729
0.27 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.460
Physical production synergy-0.350