Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Marcus Easley
Marcus Easley

Player breakdown

Marcus Easley

Connecticut · 2010 Draft Class

6-3210 lbs4th round, 107th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013BUF16052136.500.8
2015BUF13031585814.5
Career290837123.712.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007ConnecticutBig East101100101
2008ConnecticutBig East11494023.58.5
2009ConnecticutBig East1348893818.668.7
Career3453997818.829.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.274
Class YPR rank: top 4% — elite per-target efficiency+0.225
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (210 lbs)+0.208

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.782
-26.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.774
Improvement accelerating (+88.3) — getting better faster each year-0.430

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)