Player breakdown
Marcus Henry
Kansas · 2008 Draft Class
6-4207 lbs6th round, 171st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Kansas | Big 12 | 10 | 8 | 85 | 0 | 10.6 | 8.5 |
| 2005 | Kansas | Big 12 | 11 | 17 | 183 | 0 | 10.8 | 16.6 |
| 2006 | Kansas | Big 12 | 11 | 25 | 316 | 3 | 12.6 | 28.7 |
| 2007 | Kansas | Big 12 | 13 | 54 | 1,014 | 10 | 18.8 | 78 |
| 2012 | Middle Tennessee State | Sun Belt | 6 | 9 | 182 | 1 | 20.2 | 30.3 |
| 2013 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 13 | 38 | 549 | 3 | 14.4 | 42.2 |
| 2014 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 12 | 40 | 527 | 4 | 13.2 | 43.9 |
| Career | 76 | 191 | 2,856 | 21 | 15.0 | 37.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
8.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.273
BMI 25.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (207 lbs)+0.227
Speed score 96.6 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.143
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.851
-20.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Physical production synergy-0.486