Player breakdown
Marcus Maxwell
Oregon · 2005 Draft Class
7th round, 223rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | CIN | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 7 | 11 | 114 | 0 | 10.4 | 16.3 |
| 2004 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11 | 25 | 287 | 2 | 11.5 | 26.1 |
| Career | 18 | 36 | 401 | 2 | 11.1 | 22.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.430
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.78x — route-running independent of system+0.224
10.9 avg YPR per season — average consistent efficiency+0.168
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.301
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.562
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.409