Player breakdown
Marcus Monk
Arkansas · 2008 Draft Class
6-4222 lbs7th round, 248th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Arkansas | SEC | 11 | 37 | 569 | 6 | 15.4 | 51.7 |
| 2005 | Arkansas | SEC | 11 | 35 | 476 | 7 | 13.6 | 43.3 |
| 2006 | Arkansas | SEC | 14 | 50 | 962 | 11 | 19.2 | 68.7 |
| 2007 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | 16 | 144 | 3 | 9 | 20.6 |
| Career | 43 | 138 | 2,151 | 27 | 15.6 | 50.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.399
36.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.287
BMI 27.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (222 lbs)+0.235
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.534
-6.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.569
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.415