Player breakdown
Mardy Gilyard
Cincinnati · 2010 Draft Class
6-0187 lbs4th round, 99th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
57%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | STL | 11 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 63 | 10.5 | 0 | 5.7 |
| 2012 | 2TM | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 1.9 |
| 2012 | PHI | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012 | NYJ | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Career | 27 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 93 | 9.3 | 0 | 3.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Cincinnati | Big East | 13 | 36 | 536 | 3 | 14.9 | 41.2 |
| 2008 | Cincinnati | Big East | 14 | 81 | 1,276 | 11 | 15.8 | 91.1 |
| 2009 | Cincinnati | Big East | 13 | 87 | 1,191 | 11 | 13.7 | 91.6 |
| Career | 40 | 204 | 3,003 | 25 | 14.7 | 75.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
58%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.230
0.62 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.217
BMI 25.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (187 lbs)+0.215
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.448
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.350
425 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.156