Player breakdown
Mario Alford
West Virginia · 2015 Draft Class
5-8180 lbs7th round, 238th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | CIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 9 | 27 | 552 | 2 | 20.4 | 61.3 |
| 2014 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 13 | 65 | 945 | 11 | 14.5 | 72.7 |
| Career | 22 | 92 | 1,497 | 13 | 16.3 | 68.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.468
BMI 27.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (180 lbs)+0.213
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.211
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.546
Accounted for 1.77 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.372
Physical production synergy-0.236