Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mario Craver
Mario Craver

Player breakdown

Mario Craver

Texas A&M · 2026 Draft Class

5-11165 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
High
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

56%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Mississippi StateSEC917368321.640.9
2025Texas A&MSEC1259917415.576.4
Career21761,285716.961.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

57%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.209
Recruit dominator synergy+0.316
BMI 23.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (165 lbs)+0.202

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.392
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.389
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.354

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)