Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mark Bradley
Mark Bradley

Player breakdown

Mark Bradley

Oklahoma · 2005 Draft Class

2nd round, 39th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

23%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005CHI74361823012.8032.9
2006CHI100231428220.1328.2
2007CHI1501767111.814.7
20082TM128633038012.7331.7
2008CHI20100000
2008KAN108623038012.7338
2009KAN136572432013.3224.6
Career69262591221,66313.61224.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2003OklahomaBig 121211194217.616.2
2004OklahomaBig 121323491721.337.8
Career2534685920.127.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

14%

ML model output

Context Prob

71%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.058
Recruit dominator synergy+0.479
Class YPR rank: top 8% — elite per-target efficiency+0.232

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.744
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.401
Accounted for 1.21 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.358

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)