Player breakdown
Mark Jones
Tennessee · 2004 Draft Class
7th round, 206th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
27%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | CAR | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| 2009 | TEN | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3 |
| Career | 19 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 36 | 556 | 5 | 15.4 | 42.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
67%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.858
Recruit dominator synergy+0.422
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.226
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.344
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.553
Accounted for 1.32 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.319