Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Marko Mitchell
Marko Mitchell

Player breakdown

Marko Mitchell

Nevada · 2009 Draft Class

7th round, 243rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

29%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009WAS1007432803.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006NevadaWAC1339493412.637.9
2007NevadaWAC13531,129821.386.8
2008NevadaWAC13611,1411018.787.8
Career391532,7632218.170.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

23%

ML model output

Context Prob

65%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.181
0.56 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.233
Class YPR rank: top 7% — elite per-target efficiency+0.206

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.677
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.420
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.392

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)