Player breakdown
Marques Hagans
Virginia · 2006 Draft Class
5th round, 144th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | STL | 4 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 101 | 12.6 | 0 | 25.3 |
| 2008 | KAN | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3.5 |
| Career | 6 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 108 | 12.0 | 0 | 18.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Virginia | ACC | 14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0.3 |
| 2003 | Virginia | ACC | 13 | 28 | 262 | 0 | 9.4 | 20.2 |
| 2005 | Virginia | ACC | 12 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.6 |
| Career | 39 | 30 | 273 | 0 | 9.1 | 7.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.452
0.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.259
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.89x — route-running independent of system+0.227
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.423
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.718
Improvement accelerating (+64.5) — getting better faster each year-0.548