Player breakdown
Marvin McNutt
Iowa · 2012 Draft Class
6-3216 lbs6th round, 194th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
70%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | PHI | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2013 | CAR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 3.7 |
| 2009 | Iowa | Big Ten | 13 | 34 | 674 | 8 | 19.8 | 51.8 |
| 2010 | Iowa | Big Ten | 13 | 53 | 861 | 8 | 16.2 | 66.2 |
| 2011 | Iowa | Big Ten | 13 | 82 | 1,315 | 12 | 16 | 101.2 |
| Career | 42 | 170 | 2,861 | 28 | 16.8 | 68.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
53%
ML model output
Context Prob
90%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 27.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (216 lbs)+0.252
Physical production synergy+0.231
3.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.228
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.634
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.451
Improvement accelerating (+118.5) — getting better faster each year-0.316