Player breakdown
Marvin Mims
Oklahoma · 2023 Draft Class
5-11183 lbs2nd round, 63rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~24
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
87%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | DEN | 16 | 7 | 33 | 22 | 377 | 17.1 | 1 | 23.6 |
| 2024 | DEN | 17 | 2 | 52 | 39 | 503 | 12.9 | 6 | 29.6 |
| 2025 | DEN | 15 | 4 | 51 | 37 | 322 | 8.7 | 1 | 21.5 |
| Career | 48 | 13 | 136 | 98 | 1,202 | 12.3 | 8 | 25.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11 | 37 | 610 | 9 | 16.5 | 55.5 |
| 2021 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 13 | 32 | 705 | 5 | 22 | 54.2 |
| 2022 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 13 | 54 | 1,083 | 6 | 20.1 | 83.3 |
| Career | 37 | 123 | 2,398 | 20 | 19.5 | 64.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
90%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.238
Physical production synergy+0.390
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (183 lbs)+0.238
Top Negative Factors
+12.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.273
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.202
Recruit dominator synergy-0.184