Player breakdown
Matthew Henry
Western Kentucky · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
34%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 13 | 55 | 888 | 6 | 16.1 | 68.3 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
34%
ML model output
Context Prob
32%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.872
Class YPR rank: top 18% — elite per-target efficiency+0.243
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.219
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.720
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.662
Physical production synergy-0.329