Player breakdown
Matthew Hibner
SMU · 2026 Draft Class
6-4251 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
21%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | SMU | ACC | 14 | 24 | 368 | 4 | 15.3 | 26.3 |
| 2025 | SMU | ACC | 13 | 31 | 436 | 4 | 14.1 | 33.5 |
| Career | 40 | 57 | 819 | 8 | 14.4 | 20.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
17%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.533
Program WR pipeline: 8% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.489
Class YPR rank: top 16% — elite per-target efficiency+0.264
Top Negative Factors
+6.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.768
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.419
Improvement accelerating (+28.1) — getting better faster each year-0.406