Player breakdown
Maurice Stovall
Notre Dame · 2006 Draft Class
6-4217 lbs3rd round, 90th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~41
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
65%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | TAM | 9 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 102 | 14.6 | 0 | 11.3 |
| 2007 | TAM | 15 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 86 | 8.6 | 1 | 5.7 |
| 2008 | TAM | 5 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 5 |
| 2009 | TAM | 15 | 7 | 47 | 24 | 366 | 15.3 | 1 | 24.4 |
| 2010 | TAM | 12 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 81 | 11.6 | 1 | 6.8 |
| 2011 | DET | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Career | 71 | 11 | 92 | 52 | 668 | 12.8 | 3 | 9.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Notre Dame | Ind | 13 | 18 | 312 | 3 | 17.3 | 24 |
| 2003 | Notre Dame | Ind | 12 | 22 | 421 | 3 | 19.1 | 35.1 |
| 2004 | Notre Dame | Ind | 9 | 21 | 313 | 1 | 14.9 | 34.8 |
| 2005 | Notre Dame | Ind | 12 | 69 | 1,149 | 11 | 16.7 | 95.8 |
| Career | 46 | 130 | 2,195 | 18 | 16.9 | 47.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
63%
ML model output
Context Prob
69%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.150
Physical production synergy+0.480
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (217 lbs)+0.259
Top Negative Factors
-9.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
0.39 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.300
Improvement accelerating (+2.7) — getting better faster each year-0.269