Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Micah Davis
Micah Davis

Player breakdown

Micah Davis

Southern Mississippi · 2026 Draft Class

6-0195 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021Air ForceMWC810221222.127.6
2023Utah StateMWC1136628617.457.1
2024Ole MissSEC13557011.44.4
2025Southern MississippiSun Belt1331429513.833
Career45821,3351316.329.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.347
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.270
86 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.137

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.751
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+1.8) — getting better faster each year-0.410

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)