Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Campanaro
Michael Campanaro

Player breakdown

Michael Campanaro

Wake Forest · 2014 Draft Class

5-9192 lbs7th round, 218th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014BAL409710214.6125.5
2015BAL406535708.8
2016BAL30100000
2017BAL13027191739.1113.3
Career240433131010.0212.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010Wake ForestACC1210107010.78.9
2011Wake ForestACC1273833211.469.4
2012Wake ForestACC107976369.776.3
2013Wake ForestACC867803612100.4
Career422292,5061410.959.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 28.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (192 lbs)+0.177
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.96x — route-running independent of system+0.173
8.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.152

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.234
+5.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.728
Physical production synergy-0.534

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)