
Player breakdown
Michael Pettway
Jacksonville State · 2026 Draft Class
5-10175 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
5%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Jacksonville State | CUSA | 13 | 17 | 196 | 1 | 11.5 | 15.1 |
| 2024 | Jacksonville State | CUSA | 14 | 25 | 454 | 3 | 18.2 | 32.4 |
| 2025 | Jacksonville State | CUSA | 11 | 8 | 59 | 0 | 7.4 | 5.4 |
| Career | 38 | 50 | 709 | 4 | 14.2 | 18.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.405
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.260
Team averaged 22.4 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.186
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.568
-9.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.512
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.385