Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Pettway
Michael Pettway

Player breakdown

Michael Pettway

Jacksonville State · 2026 Draft Class

5-10175 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023Jacksonville StateCUSA1317196111.515.1
2024Jacksonville StateCUSA1425454318.232.4
2025Jacksonville StateCUSA1185907.45.4
Career3850709414.218.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.405
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.260
Team averaged 22.4 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.186

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.568
-9.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.512
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.385

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)