Player breakdown
Michael Trigg
Baylor · 2026 Draft Class
6-4240 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | USC | Pac-12 | 6 | 7 | 109 | 1 | 15.6 | 18.2 |
| 2022 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7 | 17 | 156 | 3 | 9.2 | 22.3 |
| 2023 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3 | 4 | 65 | 1 | 16.3 | 21.7 |
| 2024 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11 | 30 | 395 | 3 | 13.2 | 35.9 |
| 2025 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11 | 50 | 694 | 6 | 13.9 | 63.1 |
| Career | 38 | 108 | 1,419 | 14 | 13.1 | 37.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.384
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.199
BMI 29.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (240 lbs)+0.160
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.867
Improvement accelerating (+5.4) — getting better faster each year-0.468
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.379