Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mike Hass
Mike Hass

Player breakdown

Mike Hass

Oregon St. · 2006 Draft Class

6-1208 lbs6th round, 171st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

88%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2003Oregon StatePac-1013441,01372377.9
2004Oregon StatePac-1012861,379716114.9
2005Oregon StatePac-1011901,532617139.3
Career362203,9242017.8109.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

70%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

5

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.084
+53.0 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.282
BMI 27.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (208 lbs)+0.236

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.445
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.390
Efficiency consistency: 1.29 — highly consistent across seasons-0.305

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)