Player breakdown
Nate Burleson II
Nevada · 2026 Draft Class
6-0197 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Nevada | MWC | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 2024 | Nevada | MWC | 9 | 3 | 71 | 1 | 23.7 | 7.9 |
| 2025 | Nevada | MWC | 11 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 19.3 | 5.3 |
| Career | 23 | 8 | 147 | 1 | 18.4 | 6.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
+64.8 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.330
37.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.329
Speed × production: 155.1 — elite combined athletic output+0.271
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.653
Physical production synergy-0.604
Improvement accelerating (+2.9) — getting better faster each year-0.399