Player breakdown
Nicholas Cenacle
Hawaii · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Hawaii | MWC | 11 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 12.4 | 9 |
| 2023 | Hawaii | MWC | 13 | 23 | 252 | 1 | 11 | 19.4 |
| 2024 | Hawaii | MWC | 12 | 63 | 721 | 6 | 11.4 | 60.1 |
| 2025 | Hawaii | MWC | 8 | 28 | 223 | 2 | 8 | 27.9 |
| Career | 44 | 122 | 1,295 | 9 | 10.6 | 29.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.284
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.74x — route-running independent of system+0.232
10.7 avg YPR per season — average consistent efficiency+0.193
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.738
Improvement accelerating (+6.3) — getting better faster each year-0.608
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.511