Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Nick DeGennaro
Nick DeGennaro

Player breakdown

Nick DeGennaro

James Madison · 2026 Draft Class

6-0183 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~24
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020MarylandBig Ten434201410.5
2025James MadisonSun Belt1428500517.935.7
Career1831542517.530.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.472
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.253
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.239

Top Negative Factors

-16.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.738
Improvement accelerating (+10.9) — getting better faster each year-0.616
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.518

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)