Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Nick Devereaux
Nick Devereaux

Player breakdown

Nick Devereaux

Eastern Michigan · 2026 Draft Class

6-1190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Eastern MichiganMAC1117070.6
2025Eastern MichiganMAC123451071542.5
Career2335517714.822.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

58%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.274
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.154
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.153

Top Negative Factors

-31.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.623
Improvement accelerating (+71.9) — getting better faster each year-0.547

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)