Player breakdown
Nik McMillan
Buffalo · 2026 Draft Class
6-1187 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Buffalo | MAC | 7 | 13 | 180 | 1 | 13.8 | 25.7 |
| 2024 | Buffalo | MAC | 2 | 5 | 76 | 1 | 15.2 | 38 |
| 2025 | Buffalo | MAC | 12 | 62 | 981 | 3 | 15.8 | 81.8 |
| Career | 21 | 80 | 1,237 | 5 | 15.5 | 58.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.403
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.165
BMI 24.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (187 lbs)+0.163
Top Negative Factors
+4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.723
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.634
Physical production synergy-0.491