
Player breakdown
Noah Short
Army · 2026 Draft Class
6-0195 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Army | Ind | 12 | 18 | 252 | 2 | 14 | 21 |
| 2024 | Army | American | 14 | 17 | 318 | 3 | 18.7 | 22.7 |
| 2025 | Army | American | 13 | 32 | 438 | 2 | 13.7 | 33.7 |
| Career | 39 | 67 | 1,008 | 7 | 15.0 | 25.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.455
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.199
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.88x — route-running independent of system+0.189
Top Negative Factors
-28.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.616
Physical production synergy-0.507