Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Noah Short
Noah Short

Player breakdown

Noah Short

Army · 2026 Draft Class

6-0195 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023ArmyInd121825221421
2024ArmyAmerican1417318318.722.7
2025ArmyAmerican1332438213.733.7
Career39671,008715.025.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.455
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.199
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.88x — route-running independent of system+0.189

Top Negative Factors

-28.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.616
Physical production synergy-0.507

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)