Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Olabisi Johnson
Olabisi Johnson

Player breakdown

Olabisi Johnson

Colorado St. · 2019 Draft Class

6-0180 lbs7th round, 247th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

21%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019MIN16645312949.5318.4
2020MIN163191418913.5011.8
Career329644548310.7315.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015Colorado StateMWC1321517.51.2
2016Colorado StateMWC1328613421.947.2
2017Colorado StateMWC1241595214.549.6
2018Colorado StateMWC1154796414.772.4
Career491252,0191116.241.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.159
Recruit dominator synergy+0.439
1.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.275

Top Negative Factors

-11.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.768
Improvement accelerating (+52.1) — getting better faster each year-0.535
0.22 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.475

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)