Player breakdown
Omari Kelly
Michigan State · 2026 Draft Class
6-2180 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
21%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Auburn | SEC | 12 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 18.7 | 4.7 |
| 2023 | Auburn | SEC | 7 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 22.5 | 6.4 |
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 11 | 53 | 869 | 4 | 16.4 | 79 |
| 2025 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 12 | 47 | 626 | 2 | 13.3 | 52.2 |
| Career | 42 | 105 | 1,596 | 6 | 15.2 | 38.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.214
BMI 23.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (180 lbs)+0.213
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.90 — elite recruit at elite school+0.199
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.331
Improvement accelerating (+14.5) — getting better faster each year-0.563
-0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.550