Player breakdown
Pat Bryant
Illinois · 2025 Draft Class
6-2204 lbs3rd round, 74th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
25%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | DEN | 15 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 378 | 12.2 | 1 | 25.2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Illinois | Big Ten | 10 | 6 | 98 | 0 | 16.3 | 9.8 |
| 2022 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 34 | 453 | 2 | 13.3 | 37.8 |
| 2023 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 43 | 560 | 7 | 13 | 46.7 |
| 2024 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 54 | 984 | 10 | 18.2 | 82 |
| Career | 46 | 137 | 2,095 | 19 | 15.3 | 45.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.191
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (204 lbs)+0.226
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.86 — elite recruit at elite school+0.179
Top Negative Factors
-10.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
Physical production synergy-0.570
Improvement accelerating (+9.0) — getting better faster each year-0.474