Player breakdown
Patrick Turner
USC · 2009 Draft Class
6-5223 lbs3rd round, 87th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | NYJ | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 5.2 |
| 2011 | NYJ | 15 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 96 | 12 | 1 | 6.4 |
| 2012 | NYJ | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 22 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 122 | 12.2 | 1 | 5.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | USC | Pac-10 | 11 | 12 | 170 | 2 | 14.2 | 15.5 |
| 2006 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 29 | 272 | 2 | 9.4 | 20.9 |
| 2007 | USC | Pac-10 | 11 | 48 | 569 | 3 | 11.9 | 51.7 |
| 2008 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 49 | 741 | 10 | 15.1 | 57 |
| Career | 48 | 138 | 1,752 | 17 | 12.7 | 36.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.114
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (223 lbs)+0.167
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.85 — elite recruit at elite school+0.157
Top Negative Factors
-20.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Physical production synergy-0.508
0.35 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.381