Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Paul Hubbard
Paul Hubbard

Player breakdown

Paul Hubbard

Wisconsin · 2008 Draft Class

6-3221 lbs6th round, 191st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

73%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010BUF11318808
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2005WisconsinBig Ten514040.8
2006WisconsinBig Ten1338627516.548.2
2007WisconsinBig Ten814305021.838.1
Career2653936517.736.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

21%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

7

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.183
Recruit dominator synergy+0.400
0.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.286

Top Negative Factors

-21.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.765
Physical production synergy-0.484
0.19 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.455

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)