Player breakdown
Percy Harvin
Florida · 2009 Draft Class
5-11192 lbs1st round, 22nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
34%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | MIN | 15 | 8 | 91 | 60 | 790 | 13.2 | 6 | 52.7 |
| 2010 | MIN | 14 | 13 | 109 | 71 | 868 | 12.2 | 5 | 62 |
| 2011 | MIN | 16 | 14 | 121 | 87 | 967 | 11.1 | 6 | 60.4 |
| 2012 | MIN | 9 | 8 | 85 | 62 | 677 | 10.9 | 3 | 75.2 |
| 2013 | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 2014 | 2TM | 13 | 12 | 78 | 51 | 483 | 9.5 | 1 | 37.2 |
| 2014 | SEA | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 133 | 6 | 0 | 26.6 |
| 2014 | NYJ | 8 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 350 | 12.1 | 1 | 43.8 |
| 2015 | BUF | 5 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 218 | 11.5 | 1 | 43.6 |
| 2016 | BUF | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Career | 88 | 73 | 597 | 404 | 4,509 | 11.2 | 23 | 51.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 34 | 427 | 2 | 12.6 | 32.8 |
| 2007 | Florida | SEC | 11 | 59 | 858 | 4 | 14.5 | 78 |
| 2008 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 40 | 644 | 7 | 16.1 | 53.7 |
| Career | 36 | 133 | 1,929 | 13 | 14.5 | 53.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
85%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit rating × conference strength: 1.00 — elite recruit at elite school+0.226
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (192 lbs)+0.177
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.176
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.450
-0.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.574
Physical production synergy-0.516