Player breakdown
Phillip Dorsett
Miami (FL) · 2015 Draft Class
5-10185 lbs1st round, 29th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | IND | 11 | 0 | 39 | 18 | 225 | 12.5 | 1 | 20.5 |
| 2016 | IND | 15 | 7 | 59 | 33 | 528 | 16 | 2 | 35.2 |
| 2017 | NWE | 15 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 194 | 16.2 | 0 | 12.9 |
| 2018 | NWE | 16 | 2 | 42 | 32 | 290 | 9.1 | 3 | 18.1 |
| 2019 | NWE | 14 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 397 | 13.7 | 5 | 28.4 |
| 2021 | 3TM | 6 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 110 | 15.7 | 0 | 18.3 |
| 2021 | JAX | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | SEA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | HOU | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 107 | 17.8 | 0 | 35.7 |
| 2022 | HOU | 15 | 4 | 40 | 20 | 257 | 12.9 | 1 | 17.1 |
| 2023 | DEN | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 100 | 20 | 283 | 158 | 2,111 | 13.4 | 12 | 21.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 12 | 14 | 147 | 1 | 10.5 | 12.3 |
| 2012 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 12 | 58 | 842 | 4 | 14.5 | 70.2 |
| 2013 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 7 | 13 | 272 | 2 | 20.9 | 38.9 |
| 2014 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 13 | 36 | 871 | 10 | 24.2 | 67 |
| Career | 44 | 121 | 2,132 | 17 | 17.6 | 48.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.318
Physical production synergy+0.265
BMI 26.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (185 lbs)+0.257
Top Negative Factors
-3.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Improvement accelerating (+4.9) — getting better faster each year-0.294
0.39 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.294