Player breakdown
Quinton Patton
Louisiana Tech · 2013 Draft Class
6-0204 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
47%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | SFO | 6 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 0 | 5.7 |
| 2014 | SFO | 4 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 0 | 11 |
| 2015 | SFO | 16 | 4 | 57 | 30 | 394 | 13.1 | 1 | 24.6 |
| 2016 | SFO | 14 | 14 | 63 | 37 | 408 | 11 | 0 | 29.1 |
| Career | 40 | 18 | 133 | 73 | 880 | 12.1 | 1 | 22.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Louisiana Tech | WAC | 13 | 79 | 1,202 | 11 | 15.2 | 92.5 |
| 2012 | Louisiana Tech | WAC | 12 | 104 | 1,392 | 13 | 13.4 | 116 |
| Career | 25 | 183 | 2,594 | 24 | 14.2 | 103.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
47%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.440
+47.8 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.301
BMI 27.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (204 lbs)+0.203
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.517
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.468
Recruit dominator synergy-0.274