Player breakdown
Racey McMath
LSU · 2021 Draft Class
6-2217 lbs6th round, 205th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | TEN | 9 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | TEN | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 40 | 20 | 0 | 8 |
| Career | 14 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | 0 | 3.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 21 | 3.5 |
| 2019 | LSU | SEC | 14 | 17 | 285 | 3 | 16.8 | 20.4 |
| 2020 | LSU | SEC | 6 | 14 | 195 | 1 | 13.9 | 32.5 |
| Career | 32 | 33 | 522 | 4 | 15.8 | 16.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
79%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.126
Recruit dominator synergy+0.526
3.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.264
Top Negative Factors
-40.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.766
0.12 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.491
Accounted for 0.50 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.416