Player breakdown
Rara Thomas
Troy · 2026 Draft Class
6-1185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Mississippi State | SEC | 10 | 18 | 252 | 5 | 14 | 25.2 |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | SEC | 12 | 44 | 626 | 7 | 14.2 | 52.2 |
| 2023 | Georgia | SEC | 11 | 23 | 383 | 1 | 16.7 | 34.8 |
| 2025 | Troy | Sun Belt | 14 | 39 | 629 | 5 | 16.1 | 44.9 |
| Career | 47 | 124 | 1,890 | 18 | 15.2 | 40.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.362
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.276
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.272
Top Negative Factors
-7.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.729
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.582
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.413