Player breakdown
Rashad Greene
Florida St. · 2015 Draft Class
5-11182 lbs5th round, 139th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
63%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | JAX | 9 | 0 | 35 | 19 | 93 | 4.9 | 2 | 10.3 |
| 2016 | JAX | 8 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 6.4 | 0 | 4 |
| 2018 | JAX | 8 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Career | 25 | 1 | 51 | 30 | 185 | 6.2 | 2 | 7.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | 38 | 596 | 7 | 15.7 | 66.2 |
| 2012 | Florida State | ACC | 14 | 57 | 741 | 6 | 13 | 52.9 |
| 2013 | Florida State | ACC | 14 | 76 | 1,128 | 9 | 14.8 | 80.6 |
| 2014 | Florida State | ACC | 14 | 99 | 1,365 | 7 | 13.8 | 97.5 |
| Career | 51 | 270 | 3,830 | 29 | 14.2 | 75.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
60%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.215
Physical production synergy+0.319
BMI 25.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (182 lbs)+0.235
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.249
Efficiency consistency: 1.11 — highly consistent across seasons-0.241
50.9 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.238