Player breakdown
Raylen Sharpe
Arkansas · 2026 Draft Class
5-8150 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Fresno State | MWC | 11 | 51 | 523 | 3 | 10.3 | 47.5 |
| 2025 | Arkansas | SEC | 12 | 41 | 592 | 3 | 14.4 | 49.3 |
| Career | 23 | 92 | 1,115 | 6 | 12.1 | 48.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.577
Recruit dominator synergy+0.457
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.318
-2.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.537
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.344