Player breakdown
Reginald Virgil
Texas Tech · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Miami (OH) | MAC | 11 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 28 | 2.5 |
| 2023 | Miami (OH) | MAC | 12 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 34 | 2.8 |
| 2024 | Miami (OH) | MAC | 13 | 41 | 816 | 9 | 19.9 | 62.8 |
| 2025 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 14 | 57 | 705 | 6 | 12.4 | 50.4 |
| Career | 50 | 100 | 1,583 | 16 | 15.8 | 31.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.941
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.199
50.4 career ypg — limited college production+0.132
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.725
Physical production synergy-0.549
Improvement accelerating (+28.1) — getting better faster each year-0.536